Not that it really comes as a surprise but Tim Tebow will seek an evaluation from the NFL advisory committee about his draft prospects this year. The junior QB has won a national championship (with another one pending) and the Heisman Trophy but the accolades will end there.Tim Tebow will not pan out in the NFL as a QB. Tebow exemplifies the difference between college and the pros. He is a good passer but not a great passer. He completes about 66% of his passes but in Meyers offense that is nothing off the charts. There are a lot of quick passes and dump off to backs that help bolster those numbers. He also doesn't really rack it up through the air. Only once this year has he thrown for over 300 yards. His arm strength just is not pro-caliber. Tebow is also known for his running ability but in the pros that will be almost non-existent. He is a bruising runner but he won't be able to bull-over NFL linebackers like he does in college. He also doesn't really have breakaway speed and can't make players miss. He is good at alot of things but not great at anything. Also he has never run a pro-style offense. In high school and college he ran a type of spread offense and your not going to see that one in the NFL.
Now don't get me wrong. Tebow will get drafted but probably in the late 2nd or 3rd round. The real question however is whether or not that team wants to keep him at QB. It is possible that he could become a Ben Roethlisberger type player; a solid leader who is not a running QB but can certainly buy himself time with his feet and throw on the run.
More realistically, however, Tebow's best chance at success in the NFL is as a versatile player. Tebow could do a lot of things for an offense. He could be a 2nd or 3rd QB who could run a wildcat/single wing type package, which has had a resurgence this season. He also could be a TE/WR/HB combo. He is the type of player that could change things up and make defensive coordinators uneasy. He can run well enough to garner attention from safeties at WR and you never know when he could throw one deep on a trick play. He also could possibly play linebacker or maybe safety.
What is most important however is that Tebow must accept this change. He can't fight it. He will get his chance to be a QB but if he does not progress then he has to accept his new role and not be stubborn. If it works out he could end up like the next Antwan Randel El or if it flops, the next Eric Crouch.
6 comments:
I agree with you on most of your points. I really like the idea of using him in a wildcat type package about 10-15 plays a game. Just so long as he throws it a couple times. And a backup quarterback.
I think he COULD be a successful NFL quarterback but he needs to be open to working on things. His leadership is unrivaled amongst current college players and will get him an opportunity in the NFL.
I disagree with most of what you've
written. He may not pan out in the NFL but not for the reasons you stated.
1.Tebow only threw for 300 yards once because because he attempts less than 20 passes per game.
2.Only a small percentage of his runs end with him "plowing" over a linebacker. He actually has running back-like vision and is fairly elusive in the open field.
3.Arm strength - Tebow has a very strong arm (not just on deep throws).He can throw the deep out, fade, curl skinny post with great accuracy and velocity. There is no lack of arm strength with Tebow.
The only thing that standing between TT and NFL success is his slow release. If he can somehow tweak his throwing motion to quicken his release, IMO, he'll have success at the next level.
He can read defensive coverage schemes as well as anyone (2 interceptions all year).
Basically, the only difference between him and a guy like Donovan McNabb his his release is slower but he's much more accurate.
Just my humble opinion.
I have to disagree. You obviously have not seen much of the Gator's games this year or last. Tim Tebow has an extremely strong arm. He has thrown several 50+ strikes in the last 3 years and I have seen at least 1 70 yard in the air pinpoint strike this year. He throws a very hard ball on short to medium and he is extremely accurate. His throws are not the pretty spirals that you see from some passers, but they ARE accurate. Look at his interception ratio to passes. He went one stretch of 208 passes without an interception. In fact, he has thrown only 9 interceptions vs 65 TDs and 6,159 yards for his career. As far as his running ability, look at John Elway and tell me Tebow won't fit in. You base your opinion on prototypical quarterbacks but you overlook his heart, his strength and his game IQ. Tebow will be a great NFL quarterback in years to come.
Terry Bradshaw has four Super Bowl rings throwing ugly, wobbly passes. Tebow is a winner and makes everyone around him better. I think with the right team, he can be a very good NFL QB. Maybe not all world like Michael Vick or Vince Young or Ryan Leaf or Heath Shuler or Joey Harrington or any of the other can't miss prospects, and his team will always have a shot as long as he is on the field and that's not something you can say about the previously mentioned players. Just as all the experts were wrong about the previously mentioned players, they will be proven wrong about Tebow.
Tim Tebow WILL change the NFL.
I disagree with your opinion. My biggest difference is that TT has great arm strenght and distance. He killed my team with extremely accurate throws and 50% were for distances greater than 20 yards. A 45 yard fade route was like a dagger in my heart. He is a shotgun quarterback and not a drop back passer. That is his only weakness. I think a team like the Jaguars would love to have TT compete for the starting QB job. TT is a heck of a QB and my team almost had him out of HS. If we did, we likly beat the Gators this year and play on Jan 8. Do not underestimate TT, that guy is a dream destroyer.
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